Watchatic’s Fair Market Price is a projected estimate of the observable asking price market. It is not a confirmed sale price, transaction price, profit guarantee, or proof that a listing sold.

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Read a listing valuation

Use GET /v2/market/listings/{listing_id}/valuation. The endpoint applies the same Clerk and workspace/session access boundary as listing detail. It reads the latest valuation projection only: it never calls the model, appends an event, or enqueues background work. The response status is one of:
  • pending: an eligible listing is still moving through projection/scoring.
  • scored: Q50 fair ask plus a calibrated Q10–Q90 range is available.
  • abstained: Watchatic intentionally refused to price, with a stable reason.
  • stale: the last projection no longer matches current model policy or classification and must not be presented as a current price.
  • unavailable: the listing is not eligible or has no valuation history.

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Quantiles and confidence

  • Q10 (range.low_minor) is the conservative lower market bound.
  • Q50 (fair_price_minor) is the central fair asking-price estimate.
  • Q90 (range.high_minor) is the upper market bound.
The target range covers roughly 80% of comparable future asking-price situations after calibration. confidence is separate: it also considers market support, feature missingness, FX quality, lineage ambiguity, and out-of-distribution risk.

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Deal comparison

The listing’s current ask is contractually excluded from model input. Only after an independent valuation exists does the API compare the current ask to Q10/Q50/Q90. Treat a below_q10 threshold as an unusually low ask relative to the modeled market, never as guaranteed profit.

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Preview and rollout

The backend can produce silent technical scores without exposing them to customers. The frontend preview remains disabled unless NEXT_PUBLIC_WATCHATIC_FAIR_PRICE_PREVIEW_ENABLED=true is set explicitly. Customer-visible flags and alert delivery require owner acceptance.